Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersYang: NYC should implement universal basic income Overnight Health Care: Nevada union won’t endorse before caucuses after ‘Medicaid for All’ scrap | McConnell tees up votes on two abortion bills | CDC confirms 15th US coronavirus case Trump reveals he would vote for a gay presidential candidate MORE‘s (I-Vt.) surge in the Democratic presidential primary race has continued into the Lone Star State, with a new University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows the Vermont senator now leading the Democratic pack.
Sanders received 24 percent of the vote from potential Democratic primary voters, a jump from 12 percent in the same poll in October. Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenYang: NYC should implement universal basic income Majority of voters say Hunter Biden’s job at Burisma was ‘inappropriate’: poll Impeachment demonstrates dire need for term limits MORE, the October leader in the poll, was in second place with 22 percent of the vote, which falls inside the margin of error, and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenYang: NYC should implement universal basic income Warren hits Bloomberg on resurfaced ‘redlining’ comments While Klobuchar surges, Warren flounders MORE (D-Mass.) remained in third place with 15 percent.
Former New York Mayor Michael BloombergMichael Rubens BloombergYang: NYC should implement universal basic income Warren hits Bloomberg on resurfaced ‘redlining’ comments The Hill’s Campaign Report: Rising Klobuchar, Buttigieg face test in diverse states MORE was the only other hopeful polling in double digits with 10 percent.
“Most of the movement has been Sanders and Bloomberg, with Biden [holding] still,” Joshua Blank, research director for the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin, noted. “To be unable to increase his vote share is pretty telling for Biden.”
Biden struggled in both Iowa and New Hampshire, finishing fourth and fifth, respectively.
The poll also looked at how the candidates would fare in hypothetical head-to-head matchups with President TrumpDonald John TrumpHillicon Valley: US hits Huawei with new charges | Judge orders Pentagon to halt ‘war cloud’ work amid Amazon challenge | IRS removes guidance on Fortnite game currency NASA astronaut reunites with dog after breaking record for longest space mission by a woman Trump says his ‘life would’ve been a lot easier’ if he picked Barr over Sessions MORE.
While 52 percent of respondents said that they wouldn’t vote to reelect Trump, the president still edged all of the Democratic candidates head-to-head.
Sanders had the closest matchup with the president, losing 47-45, which is within the poll’s overall margin of error.
“The Trump trial ballots confirm what we’ve seen, that Trump is winning, but he clearly is under-performing, given the party profile in the state,” Daron Shaw, co-director of the poll, said. “It is interesting when you put a flesh and blood Democrat up there, it drops that number, but here’s a Republican in a Republican state who’s not at 50 percent, which is a sign of weakness.”
Texas’ primary takes place on Super Tuesday on March 3, though early voting for the primary starts Tuesday.
The poll surveyed 1,200 registered voters from Jan. 31-Feb. 9. The overall margin of error was plus or minus 2.83 percentage points, while the margin of error the Democratic trial ballots was plus or minus 4.09 percentage points.