https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/two-election-forecasters-shift-more-dozen-house-races-favor-republicans?utm_source=justthenews.com&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=external-news-aggregators

Two election forecasters have shifted more than a dozen races in total in favor of the GOP, the latest indication that Democrats should prepare for a considerable loss in November.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report swung eight House races in districts from New York to Nevada in favor the GOP on Wednesday. Several “likely” Democratic districts in New York, North Carolina, and Indiana swapped positions to “lean” Democratic. Three more districts, two in Nevada and one in Virginia are now toss-ups. One district in New Jersey and one in New York are now “likely” Democratic; they were formerly “solid” Democratic areas.

All but two of the districts identified by Cook are currently held by Democrats running for reelection. Two Democratic Reps. Kathleen Rice (N.Y.-4) and G.K. Butterfield (N.C.-1) are retiring from their seats.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball out of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics also shifted 11 House districts in Republicans’ favor, citing some overlaps with the Cook Political Report.

The Crystal Ball, however, also swapped statuses of a handful of Republican-held seats in Illinois, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Texas toward GOP candidates. 

The UVA apparatus additionally noted that both political parties have managed to raise impressive amounts of funding in the first quarter, “but that there are plenty of Republican House incumbents and challengers who are also doing fine or better than fine on the money front.”

In order to recapture the lower chamber in November, Republicans must net just five seats, a target that appears likelier by the day.

Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, recently wrote that the “main question” about the House of Representatives is not if Republicans will flip the chamber, but “how big the Republicans’ eventual majority will be.” Though, he added, “we would not completely shut the door on Democrats’ retaining control if the political environment improves markedly.”

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