Donbas is the “last major offensive the Russian military can attempt given the current state & availability of forces” without national mobilisation according to an analyst.
Michael Kofman, Research Program Director in the Russia Studies Program at CNA took to Twitter to share his thoughts about the second phase of the war which sees Russia’s offensive attempt to take Donbas in southeastern Ukraine.
He wrote: “Without national mobilization, I think the Donbas is the last major offensive the Russian military can attempt given the current state & availability of forces.
“Whether it succeeds, or fails, the Russian military will be largely exhausted in terms of offensive potential.”
He went on to describe the offensive as “a risky operation”.
He added: “Even if Russian forces make significant gains, they could be pressed to hold territory and vulnerable afterwards.
“UKR forces appear to have conducted a tactical retreat in some areas, blown bridges, and at the same time could position for a counter attack to threaten the sustainment of the Russian offensive.”