AllSides is helping you track the odds of those and the rest of the U.S. House and Senate races in the 2022 midterm elections. This blog is updated on a regular basis; check back often to see how the odds change!
In the spirit of showing all sides, we also invite you to check out these other election forecast models and rakings: FiveThirtyEight (Center), Politico (Lean Left), Fox News (Right), 270toWin, The Economist (Lean Left).
Republicans have a 70% chance of taking the U.S. House
After redistricting, all 435 seats of the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election in their new boundaries.
Democrats have a 55% chance of keeping the U.S. Senate
Thirty-five seats in the U.S. Senate are contested, and current projections show a tight race for control in 2023.
This AllSides Interactive is a partnership between AllSides and Dodge Matthews. The model takes into account polls on individual races, national sentiment towards each party, history of past midterm elections, and more to estimate the vote share of candidates in a race and the probability that they will win.
Check back before Election Day on November 8th to view how the odds change!
Election Forecasting Models aren’t perfect, but they can help paint a picture of what the results may look like in November. For more information, email firstname.lastname@example.org or email@example.com.
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