Dr. Oz has been projected to win over John Fetterman in their Senate race in Pennsylavnia.
The projection by Real Clear Politics was reported today by Newsmax:
Republican Mehmet Oz is projected to win his Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race against Democrat Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, according to Real Clear Politics.
Oz, who has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump, will win Pennsylvania by 1.9% of the vote, Real Clear Politics (RCP) showed Thursday.
RCP is based on opinion polling adjusted to take account of past inaccuracies.
The recent RCP-produced average of recent polls puts Fetterman ahead by 3.2 percentage points. However, the RCP polling averages for past elections have understated Republican support by a mean of 5.2 points.
Therefore, adjusted for past undercounting of Republican support, RCP forecasts an Oz victory in the key battleground state.
I like that RCP is adjusting it’s polling for past polling failures. It’ll be interesting to see if that proves to be correct in this race.
I checked to see what FiveThirtyEight is projecting, and as of today they are saying Fetterman will win by nearly 3 points.
I guess we’ll find out the truth soon enough…