There are several swing states that either party could win to secure control of the Senate in two weeks, but only two are “consensus” toss-ups, according to one polling analysis website.

The site 270towin pulls together the ratings from multiple election analysts to create a “composite forecast” of how each Senate race in the country will play out on Nov. 8, and the site finds contests in Georgia and Nevada to be the two “toss-ups” at this point in the election cycle.

The site aggregates ratings from such political handicappers as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all of which rate Georgia and Nevada as toss-ups. But some of these analysts also list other states as fiercely competitive.


The Cook Political Report puts Georgia and Nevada in the toss-up category along with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, for example. The seats in Georgia and Nevada are currently held by the Democratic Party, while Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are Republican seats.

Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2022, 270towin considers 23 to be safe seats for the incumbent party. Six are either “likely” or “leans” Republican, while four are “likely” or “leans” Democratic.

Nevada incumbent Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto is slightly trailing in the polls behind Republican Adam Laxalt, a former state attorney general. FiveThirtyEight’s polling average puts Laxalt and Cortez Masto within 0.1 percentage points of one another.

The GOP has made great efforts to court the Latino vote in Nevada to their side this election cycle. Though Cortez Masto is the first Latina senator, Republicans have sought to create a wedge between her and the Hispanic electorate on crime and the economy.

Democrats will still most likely win the Latino vote in Nevada and elsewhere, but efforts like the Republican National Committee’s community outreach centers in Hispanic areas are expected to cut into that vote, perhaps enough to win overall in Nevada.

“Latinos are tired of the Democratic Party,” Al Rojas, who chairs Republican Mark Robertson’s Latino outreach in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District, told the Washington Examiner.


In Georgia, Republican Herschel Walker is hoping to take down incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock (D). Though the race is a statistical dead heat, Walker must overcome a number of scandals embroiling his candidacy.

It was alleged that Walker paid for an ex-girlfriend’s abortion despite running on an anti-abortion platform, while Warnock is fielding a scandal of his own after his wife claimed he ran over her foot during a domestic dispute.

Warnock has the advantage of incumbency, while Herschel is a folk hero of sorts after a storied college football and NFL career.

Republicans only need to flip one Senate seat on net to take control of the 50-50 upper chamber. The elections are in two weeks, on Nov. 8.

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