New Western firepower outgunning Putin: How Russian raw recruits are losing to Ukraine’s modern tech – and Kyiv could ‘win the war this year’ if Moscow doesn’t ‘get its act together’
- An expert says Ukraine could win the war against Russia as early as this year
- Last week, Ukraine was handed further tanks by France, Germany and the US
- Its arsenal of howitzers and rocket launchers is already superior to that of Russia
- Elon Musk’s Starlight satellite system has also been an immeasurable weapon
A military expert says it is ‘perfectly possible for Ukraine to win the war this year’ if its military science continues to outmatch that of Russia.
Through the course of the conflict, Ukraine has gradually surpassed its invaders with technology allowing for a devastating fightback.
On New Year’s Eve, a volley of American-manufactured HIMARS rocket launchers struck a building filled with Russian conscripts in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region.
Ever since Putin’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24 last year, President Volodymyr Zelensky has successfully lobbied Western allies for technology to outmatch the invaders
Zelensky has persuaded western powers to provide technology and equipment in the fight against Russian invasion
Putin’ army will need to reorganise and weed out corruption as it ‘bedevils the quality an supply of military equipment’ an expert said
The strike, upon the poorly fortified Professional Technical School in Makiivka, killed 89 Russian recruits according to the Kremlin and destroyed their ammunition, The Guardian reports.
The Kremlin confirmed the loss of life and blamed its soldiers’ use of mobile phones for giving away the location. Ukraine considers the probable death toll to be higher – possibly in the hundreds.
The incident has provoked widespread anger in Russia, where support for the war is waning, while it may signal to Putin the need for improved military organisation and development.
Last week, Ukraine was handed a further lifeline when France, Germany and the US all agreed to send versions of their tanks, the AMX-10, the Marder and the Bradley.
Although not classified as ‘true tanks’ because of their lack of armour or firepower, the weapons are capable of providing firing support to Ukrainians advancing across enemy lines.
Among those machines, the US Bradley – which served with distinction in the 1991 Gulf War – is widely regarded the most advanced, boasting a 25mm cannon fired from a chain gun and a pod on the side – effective at wiping out Russian battle tanks.
The US has pledged to send around 50 Bradley tanks to Ukraine. The vehicles were highly effective during the Gulf War in 1991
The German Marder was described as ‘respectable but old’ with around 40 understood to be promised to Ukraine
The AMX-10 tank supplied by France is capable of great speed and has been described as ideal for a ‘reconnaissance echelon or rapid reaction force’
Germany is still holding back on Ukrainian demands to supply the lethal Leopard-II
The Leopard-II is a 63-ton battle tank that some think could shift the course of the war
Germany is still holding back on Ukrainian demands to supply the lethal Leopard-II, a 63-ton battle tank that some think could shift the course of the war.
Ben Barry, senior fellow of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said the Leopard can be acquired in a package with its own recovery vehicles, with low loafers and rail capability, The Telegraph reports.
‘In terms of military science, it is perfectly possible for Ukraine to win the war this year,’ said Mr Watling. ‘There are other plausible scenarios – what if Russian military industry gets its act together and increases munitions production? What if the Russians sort out their training?’
Mr Barry, who himself served in Bosnia and had a number of the vehicles under his command, described the German Marder as ‘respectable but old’ and added that the AMX-10 has an armour too thin to be a true tank but it possesses great speed.
He added: ‘If someone said to me, “Ben, I want you to build an armoured brigade, would you like these things?” I’d say, “absolutely”. They are just what you want for a reconnaissance echelon or rapid reaction force.’
The head of the Ukrainian military, Valery Zaluzhny, says he needs 300 tanks, 600 to 700 infantry fighting vehicles and 500 howitzers to push Russia back to its lines before the invasion.
France has not confirmed the number of AMX-10s it will send, while German newspaper Der Spiegel reported about 40 Marders – the equivalent of a batallion – are likely to be sent.
Ukrainian soldiers of the Territorial Defense of Kherson reinforce their positions
Plumes of smoke rise from a Russian strike during a 36-hour ceasefire over Orthodox Christmas declared by Russian President Vladimir Putin
US officials are reported to have said they will supply 50 Bradleys in the next support package to Ukraine.
Poland’s Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki yesterday stated he was in talks with coalation countries to discuss the prospect of sending Leopard-II tanks to Ukraine.
Thanks to a ‘combined arms’ approach – utilising intelligence with airpower, missiles and small, flexible armed units – Ukraine was able to stave off the the first wave of the invasion.
They were able to access Elon Musk’s satellite system, providing general with an immeasurable tool for strategy – with instant connection from headquarters to the trenches.
Writing for the Guardian, Michael Clarke a professor of defence studies at Kings College London, said: ‘Kyiv still has some way to go before it has enough equipment and troops to conduct the sort of offensive that will throw Russian forces out of most, or all, its territory.
‘It needs a lot more of what it already has – and then more overtly offensive weapon systems, including heavier armoured forces, more attack aircraft and more drones and missiles.’
The ineptitude of the Russian army, vast in number and run centrally, was exposed early in the war.
Prof Clarke added: ‘The re-mobilised Russian army will gave to be less corrupt, a characteristic that bedevils the quality and supply of military equipment… Its logistics need to be modernised quickly. Food and ammunition supply is particularly acute.’